January in Toluca, Mexico, brings average daily highs of 19°C and overnight lows of 5°C in the 2016–2025 historical record. Pack clothes you can layer as conditions change. The average leaves room for both warmer and cooler days, so a flexible walking plan is more useful than deciding every outdoor stop before you arrive.
In the record, at least 1 mm of rain or snow falls on 4 of 31 days on average, a daily chance of 13%. Rain has been relatively infrequent in this record, which leaves more scope for an outdoor plan. Still keep an alternative for a wet day: a low monthly average cannot tell you when the rain will arrive.
The calculated day length, sunrise to sunset, averages about 11 hours. Sunshine averages 10 hours a day. Use the daylight window to plan the length of excursions, and check local sunrise and sunset times for the dates of your stay. Sunshine is a separate measure, and those hours need not arrive in one uninterrupted stretch.
For nature trips or walks, keep the longest outings movable and check route conditions locally; a monthly climate average cannot establish whether a particular path is accessible. For a culture-focused visit, group the places you want to see into manageable areas, with time between stops. Check each venue's opening dates before fixing the order.
February has an average daily high of 21°C, 2°C higher than January. Its historical rain-day chance is 17%, compared with 13% this month. If your dates are flexible, compare those trade-offs with the kind of days you want. Neither set of averages predicts the conditions of one particular holiday.