February in Toluca, Mexico, brings average daily highs of 21°C and overnight lows of 6°C in the 2016–2025 historical record. Pack clothes you can layer as conditions change. The average leaves room for both warmer and cooler days, so a flexible walking plan is more useful than deciding every outdoor stop before you arrive.
In the record, at least 1 mm of rain or snow falls on 5 of 28 days on average, a daily chance of 17%. Leave some freedom to swap an outdoor day with a sheltered one. There is no need to read the average as a fixed number of lost days; it says nothing about how long rain lasts on each occasion.
The calculated day length, sunrise to sunset, averages about 12 hours. Sunshine averages 11 hours a day. Use the daylight window to plan the length of excursions, and check local sunrise and sunset times for the dates of your stay. Sunshine is a separate measure, and those hours need not arrive in one uninterrupted stretch.
For nature trips or walks, keep the longest outings movable and check route conditions locally; a monthly climate average cannot establish whether a particular path is accessible. For a culture-focused visit, group the places you want to see into manageable areas, with time between stops. Check each venue's opening dates before fixing the order.
March has an average daily high of 23°C, 2°C higher than February. Its historical rain-day chance is 22%, compared with 17% this month. If your dates are flexible, compare those trade-offs with the kind of days you want. Neither set of averages predicts the conditions of one particular holiday.